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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.66vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+5.64vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+2.82vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+2.84vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.71+2.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.32+3.11vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.53+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.59+0.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.91vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.34-0.89vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-5.35vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.17vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-6.15vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-1.29vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.20-0.80vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.45-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.64Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.82Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.84Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.11Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.65Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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12.71Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.2Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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15.07University of Connecticut-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 23.1% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 26.7% | 24.8% | 8.5% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 14.1% | 38.7% | 29.7% |
| Sarah Warack | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 8.3% | 21.8% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.