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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+6.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.24vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+4.08vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+2.18vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.05+4.20vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.08+3.41vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.95+3.44vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95+1.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98+2.01vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.90vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.81-0.48vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.12-1.72vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.99-1.36vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.73-4.32vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-5.74vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-4.55vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.27-8.85vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.41-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Tulane University2.469.3%1st Place
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6.24Yale University2.7310.4%1st Place
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7.08Stanford University2.937.8%1st Place
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6.18Georgetown University2.7610.4%1st Place
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9.2George Washington University2.056.1%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College2.085.4%1st Place
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10.44Florida State University1.954.3%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College1.954.7%1st Place
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11.01Fordham University1.982.9%1st Place
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8.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.4%1st Place
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10.52Old Dominion University1.814.9%1st Place
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10.28Harvard University2.124.9%1st Place
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11.64North Carolina State University1.993.2%1st Place
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9.68Webb Institute1.734.5%1st Place
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9.26Boston University1.794.8%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.2%1st Place
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8.15University of Hawaii2.275.5%1st Place
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15.25SUNY Maritime College0.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Walter Henry | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Porter Kavle | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Scott Harris | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 8.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Bastien Rasse | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.