← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.99+5.79vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.75vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.38+2.66vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.32+5.23vs Predicted
-
5Yale University4.10-1.30vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.71+1.92vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.59+1.28vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.74-0.37vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.53-0.66vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.35-4.21vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.87vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.34-3.00vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College0.20+1.18vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.97-1.28vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College3.06-8.21vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut-0.45-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.79University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.66Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
9.23Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
3.7Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
7.92Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
8.28University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
-
7.63Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.34Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
-
5.79Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
-
9.0Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
14.18Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
-
12.72Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
-
6.79Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
15.09University of Connecticut-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 21.9% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 13.9% | 37.1% | 29.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 28.1% | 23.4% | 8.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Warack | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 23.7% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.