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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.42+9.29vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23+7.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.99+6.69vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+3.06vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+7.88vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.34+2.86vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.97+3.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.01-1.91vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+0.74vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.85-3.82vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.90-0.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-6.22vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.32-5.32vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.06-0.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-7.76vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.02-6.43vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.42-9.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.29Roger Williams University2.424.0%1st Place
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9.98College of Charleston2.234.3%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University1.995.1%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College2.909.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Rhode Island2.102.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston College2.345.4%1st Place
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10.75Jacksonville University1.974.0%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.2%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy3.019.4%1st Place
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10.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.5%1st Place
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7.18Brown University2.859.0%1st Place
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11.35Cornell University1.903.5%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.9%1st Place
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8.68University of Miami2.326.2%1st Place
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14.21University of Michigan1.061.4%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.4%1st Place
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10.57University of Wisconsin2.023.9%1st Place
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8.04University of Pennsylvania2.427.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 19.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| JC Hermus | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lilly Myers | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 34.2% |
| David Eastwood | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.