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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+6.25vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+4.09vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+4.09vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.95+5.82vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.99+6.46vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.05+3.26vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.08+2.37vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.73+1.50vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.12+1.49vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.28vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.44+1.44vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.73-5.62vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.27-5.14vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.95-3.85vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.34vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.98-5.50vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.79-7.74vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Tulane University2.469.0%1st Place
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6.09Georgetown University2.7611.4%1st Place
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7.09Stanford University2.938.5%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College1.953.9%1st Place
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11.46North Carolina State University1.992.9%1st Place
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9.26George Washington University2.055.0%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College2.085.5%1st Place
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9.5Webb Institute1.735.1%1st Place
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10.49Harvard University2.123.3%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.5%1st Place
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12.44Old Dominion University1.442.5%1st Place
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6.38Yale University2.739.8%1st Place
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7.86University of Hawaii2.277.6%1st Place
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10.15Florida State University1.953.9%1st Place
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15.34SUNY Maritime College0.410.9%1st Place
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10.5Fordham University1.984.0%1st Place
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9.26Boston University1.794.9%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Walter Henry | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Scott Harris | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Matt Logue | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% |
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bastien Rasse | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 49.3% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.