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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+6.76vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.53+6.34vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+3.88vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+1.86vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+1.74vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.59+2.30vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+0.83vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+0.92vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32+0.05vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College0.20+4.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.86vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.10-8.26vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-0.21vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-7.32vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-9.25vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.45-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.86Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.74Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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14.13Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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3.74Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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12.79Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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5.75Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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15.09University of Connecticut-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Margaret Bacon | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 15.1% | 38.1% | 28.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 22.4% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 28.5% | 24.4% | 8.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Warack | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 7.2% | 22.8% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.