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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.01+4.96vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.10+9.36vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.03+6.48vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.02+4.36vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+3.10vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32+0.25vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+1.48vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.90+1.35vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.23-1.51vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.97-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.42-5.27vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.06+0.02vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.42-4.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-8.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-10.55vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy2.05-8.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Naval Academy3.018.5%1st Place
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12.36University of Rhode Island2.102.1%1st Place
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10.48Tufts University2.034.2%1st Place
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6.85Brown University2.858.5%1st Place
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10.36University of Wisconsin2.023.9%1st Place
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10.1Boston College2.345.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Miami2.326.5%1st Place
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10.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.0%1st Place
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11.35Cornell University1.902.9%1st Place
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9.49College of Charleston2.235.4%1st Place
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10.37Jacksonville University1.974.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Pennsylvania2.427.4%1st Place
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14.02University of Michigan1.061.4%1st Place
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10.12Roger Williams University2.425.1%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.208.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.4%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Military Academy2.055.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| JC Hermus | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Lilly Myers | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 33.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| David Eastwood | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| James Paul | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.