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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.65vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.53+6.29vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+4.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.30vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+2.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99-0.02vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+0.96vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97+3.72vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.32-0.81vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-5.32vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.59-3.79vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-7.30vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.20+0.13vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.45+0.01vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.06-9.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.74Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.96Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.72Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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5.68Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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5.7Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.13Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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15.01University of Connecticut-0.450.0%1st Place
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6.71Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 22.8% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 30.0% | 23.4% | 9.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 14.1% | 39.0% | 27.5% |
| Sarah Warack | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 7.6% | 21.8% | 61.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.