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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.12+1.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.13+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.34-1.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.20-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.18-1.22vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.19-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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2.9Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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3.81University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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6.97California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dahl | 31.7% | 26.3% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 24.1% | 23.2% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgane Renoir | 11.0% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 9.7% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.0% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.9% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 24.2% | 17.3% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 26.2% | 19.8% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 22.5% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.