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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.79+8.27vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+4.00vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.73+6.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+2.11vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.46+2.41vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.99+5.33vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.64vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98+2.76vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+2.41vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.08-0.57vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.93-3.93vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.95-2.15vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.44-0.57vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.95-3.82vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.12-4.43vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.05-6.77vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.27-9.03vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.41-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.27Boston University1.794.6%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University2.7612.4%1st Place
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9.36Webb Institute1.734.5%1st Place
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6.11Yale University2.7311.6%1st Place
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7.41Tulane University2.467.8%1st Place
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11.33North Carolina State University1.994.0%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.5%1st Place
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10.76Fordham University1.983.9%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.7%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College2.085.0%1st Place
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7.07Stanford University2.938.9%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College1.954.5%1st Place
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12.43Old Dominion University1.442.8%1st Place
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10.18Florida State University1.954.0%1st Place
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10.57Harvard University2.123.6%1st Place
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9.23George Washington University2.054.5%1st Place
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7.97University of Hawaii2.276.6%1st Place
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14.98SUNY Maritime College0.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Jack Reiter | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Jack Egan | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Scott Harris | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Matt Logue | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Bastien Rasse | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.