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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.01+4.76vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.83vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+6.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.03+5.67vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+6.45vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.42+3.18vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.23+1.71vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.90+2.19vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.34+0.15vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.43vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.32-3.77vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.85-6.20vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-6.15vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.02-4.99vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy2.05-6.60vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.06-2.92vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.97-7.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.3%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Pennsylvania2.427.3%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.464.2%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University2.033.8%1st Place
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12.45University of Rhode Island2.102.8%1st Place
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10.18Roger Williams University2.424.3%1st Place
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9.71College of Charleston2.233.8%1st Place
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11.19Cornell University1.903.8%1st Place
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10.15Boston College2.344.0%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Miami2.326.8%1st Place
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6.8Brown University2.859.3%1st Place
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7.85University of California at Santa Barbara2.207.3%1st Place
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10.01University of Wisconsin2.024.2%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Military Academy2.055.3%1st Place
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14.08University of Michigan1.061.4%1st Place
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10.41Jacksonville University1.974.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 16.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Lilly Myers | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| David Eastwood | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| James Paul | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 31.9% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.