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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.64vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.83vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.59+5.37vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+2.93vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.71+3.00vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-0.04vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.32+2.31vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74-0.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.78vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-4.18vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34-1.82vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-3.46vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-6.06vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-0.96vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.20-0.41vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.96Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.82Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.18Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.94University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.04Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.59Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 24.1% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 25.4% | 20.8% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 20.9% | 56.5% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 27.3% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.