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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+5.63vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+7.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.31vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+1.95vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+2.84vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.53+2.67vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-1.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71-0.13vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.16vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.59-1.52vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-7.25vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.32-2.76vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-6.06vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-0.97vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.13-2.14vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.20-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.95Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.88Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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3.75Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.94University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.03Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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14.62Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 23.4% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 17.7% | 25.1% | 20.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 26.0% | 17.8% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 19.9% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.