← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+9.92vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.32+6.47vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.23+6.94vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.01+3.08vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin2.02+5.41vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.03+4.84vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.10+5.81vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.45+0.38vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-0.72vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.42-1.96vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.90-4.38vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.27vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.33vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.90-2.59vs Predicted
-
15Boston College2.34-4.67vs Predicted
-
16Brown University2.85-8.91vs Predicted
-
17Jacksonville University1.97-6.18vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan1.06-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.8%1st Place
-
8.47University of Miami2.326.9%1st Place
-
9.94College of Charleston2.235.2%1st Place
-
7.08U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.0%1st Place
-
10.41University of Wisconsin2.024.0%1st Place
-
10.84Tufts University2.033.5%1st Place
-
12.81University of Rhode Island2.102.1%1st Place
-
8.38Roger Williams University2.456.0%1st Place
-
8.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.6%1st Place
-
8.04University of Pennsylvania2.426.0%1st Place
-
6.62Dartmouth College2.9010.7%1st Place
-
6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.5%1st Place
-
8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.7%1st Place
-
11.41Cornell University1.902.9%1st Place
-
10.33Boston College2.344.8%1st Place
-
7.09Brown University2.858.4%1st Place
-
10.82Jacksonville University1.973.8%1st Place
-
14.15University of Michigan1.061.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Vickers | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| JC Hermus | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 17.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| David Eastwood | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Lilly Myers | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Rose | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.