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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.46vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+6.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+5.27vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+2.07vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+1.55vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+1.28vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+0.34vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-1.45vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.21-0.62vs Predicted
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10Boston College0.97+2.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.16-2.39vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09-3.17vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.87-6.82vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.68-1.07vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-5.17vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.04-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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8.79Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.55Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.38Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.39Boston College0.970.0%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.18Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.93Middlebury College0.680.0%1st Place
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9.83Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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14.54University of Connecticut-0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 26.3% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Christina Frost | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Hailey Ullmann | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 19.8% | 22.5% | 14.5% |
| Amanda Sommi | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cynthia Connard | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 25.8% | 20.6% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Dana Cho | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 18.8% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.