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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+5.47vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+5.21vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+2.89vs Predicted
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4Boston College0.97+8.40vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+3.85vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+2.37vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-3.37vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.87-1.93vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.21-0.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.16-1.31vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.58-3.80vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08-3.12vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-6.35vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.04+0.40vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.68-1.90vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.21Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.4Boston College0.970.0%1st Place
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8.85Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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3.63University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.07Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.42Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.88Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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14.4University of Connecticut-0.040.0%1st Place
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13.1Middlebury College0.680.0%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Ullmann | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 23.6% | 16.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Christina Frost | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 24.7% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Sommi | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Laura Dunphy | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Dana Cho | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 19.6% | 51.8% |
| Cynthia Connard | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 26.8% | 23.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.