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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.50vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.21+6.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+5.26vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+3.40vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+1.58vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08+2.92vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.83+2.79vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.58-0.96vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.16-0.46vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-5.10vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.87-5.69vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-6.40vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.04+0.41vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.68-1.89vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.97-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.34Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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6.58Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.92Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.79Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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5.9University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.31Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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14.41University of Connecticut-0.040.0%1st Place
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13.11Middlebury College0.680.0%1st Place
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12.4Boston College0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 24.3% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Christina Frost | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Marly Isler | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Amina Brown | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dana Cho | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 19.1% | 52.8% |
| Cynthia Connard | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 26.2% | 24.4% |
| Hailey Ullmann | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 23.3% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.