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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+5.96vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+4.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+4.25vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.81+6.76vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.27+3.34vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.95+4.74vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98+3.94vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.46-0.49vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+0.30vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.99+1.82vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+0.28vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-3.08vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.16vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.08-4.44vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.73-5.23vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.31-7.98vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.67vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.89-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Yale University3.2010.1%1st Place
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6.3Georgetown University2.7610.8%1st Place
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7.25Stanford University2.938.4%1st Place
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10.76Old Dominion University1.813.6%1st Place
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8.34University of Hawaii2.276.6%1st Place
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10.74Florida State University1.953.5%1st Place
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10.94Fordham University1.983.4%1st Place
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7.51Tulane University2.468.6%1st Place
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9.3Boston University1.795.3%1st Place
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11.82North Carolina State University1.993.2%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.1%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College2.295.3%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.9%1st Place
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9.56Bowdoin College2.084.8%1st Place
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9.77Webb Institute1.734.6%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University2.316.9%1st Place
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15.33SUNY Maritime College0.410.9%1st Place
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10.35George Washington University1.893.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Bastien Rasse | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Scott Harris | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 52.1% |
| Matthew Priebe | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.