← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.61+4.82vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University1.62+8.10vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.05+1.72vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.91+10.87vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+5.74vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.92+2.75vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.75-1.03vs Predicted
-
8Boston University1.65+1.73vs Predicted
-
9Webb Institute1.43+0.92vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.92-3.98vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University1.77-1.97vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.06-3.87vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-2.26vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii2.03-5.02vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University0.95-1.81vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University1.57-5.86vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College-0.32-1.11vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University2.13-9.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.82Stanford University2.6111.3%1st Place
-
10.1Florida State University1.623.8%1st Place
-
4.72Harvard University3.0516.7%1st Place
-
14.87North Carolina State University0.911.0%1st Place
-
10.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.412.6%1st Place
-
8.75Connecticut College1.925.5%1st Place
-
5.97Georgetown University2.7511.1%1st Place
-
9.73Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
-
9.92Webb Institute1.433.6%1st Place
-
6.02Yale University2.9210.7%1st Place
-
9.03Tulane University1.774.9%1st Place
-
8.13Bowdoin College2.066.2%1st Place
-
10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.5%1st Place
-
8.98University of Hawaii2.034.3%1st Place
-
13.19Old Dominion University0.951.5%1st Place
-
10.14Fordham University1.573.1%1st Place
-
15.89SUNY Maritime College-0.320.4%1st Place
-
8.25George Washington University2.136.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 16.7% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 24.1% | 28.7% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Patton | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| John Glenn | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 12.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 19.5% | 47.4% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.