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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine2.34+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+2.17vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92-0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California3.12-1.39vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.13-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.18-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.20-1.27vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.19-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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2.87Stanford University2.920.3%1st Place
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2.61University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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4.18University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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6.98California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair Johnston | 14.2% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Morgane Renoir | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 3.0% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 25.4% | 22.4% | 20.2% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Emily Dahl | 29.7% | 24.9% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.2% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 25.9% | 17.7% |
| Shannon Walker | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 24.7% | 19.3% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 9.7% | 21.6% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.