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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.51vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+6.25vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+3.70vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.07+6.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.60vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+2.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.15+4.45vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29+1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.93+0.80vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-2.77vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.97-1.32vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.55-0.77vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-2.06vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.90-4.64vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-3.17vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.97-6.76vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.60-6.81vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.12-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Dartmouth College2.7510.6%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.9%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island2.789.8%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University2.074.7%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston College2.567.0%1st Place
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11.45Tufts University2.153.4%1st Place
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9.78Brown University2.294.7%1st Place
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9.8University of Miami1.935.1%1st Place
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7.23Cornell University2.388.6%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Naval Academy1.975.1%1st Place
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11.23Jacksonville University1.552.6%1st Place
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10.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.3%1st Place
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9.36University of Pennsylvania1.905.4%1st Place
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11.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.9%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston1.975.6%1st Place
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10.19University of Wisconsin1.605.1%1st Place
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12.71University of Michigan1.122.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% |
| Bridget Green | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Gray Benson | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Matthew King | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| John Ped | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Max Anker | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.