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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+6.38vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+1.72vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+3.90vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+3.02vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+1.19vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08+3.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.16+1.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+0.42vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.58-1.58vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-5.15vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.87-4.48vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.68+1.05vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.09-3.98vs Predicted
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14Boston College0.97-1.67vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-4.88vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.43-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.02Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.14Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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4.85Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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13.05Middlebury College0.680.0%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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12.33Boston College0.970.0%1st Place
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10.12Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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15.0University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 24.2% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Marly Isler | 6.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Sommi | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Christina Frost | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cynthia Connard | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 28.6% | 18.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Hailey Ullmann | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 18.8% | 24.0% | 10.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Shannan Smith | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 17.3% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.