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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+4.73vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+6.08vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+3.16vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.58+2.47vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.16+2.87vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-2.13vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.68+5.00vs Predicted
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9Boston College0.97+3.34vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.87-3.46vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.83-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-5.75vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-4.55vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.08-4.97vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-7.37vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.43-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.73Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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4.87Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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13.0Middlebury College0.680.0%1st Place
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12.34Boston College0.970.0%1st Place
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6.54Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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9.03Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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14.99University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 23.4% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Sommi | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 15.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cynthia Connard | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 17.3% | 28.7% | 17.6% |
| Hailey Ullmann | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 18.3% | 25.2% | 10.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 1.5% |
| Amina Brown | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christina Frost | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Shannan Smith | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 15.3% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.