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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+3.68vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+3.94vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+6.85vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.92+4.78vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.57+4.97vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+4.65vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+6.11vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-2.25vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-0.59vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.91+4.93vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.75-5.17vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.62-1.97vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.03-3.90vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-3.18vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.77-5.81vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.13-7.83vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.43-7.03vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.32-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Harvard University3.0516.2%1st Place
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5.94Stanford University2.6110.9%1st Place
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9.85Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College1.925.2%1st Place
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9.97Fordham University1.573.8%1st Place
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10.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.5%1st Place
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13.11Old Dominion University0.951.2%1st Place
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5.75Yale University2.9211.1%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College2.064.9%1st Place
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14.93North Carolina State University0.910.8%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University2.7511.2%1st Place
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10.03Florida State University1.624.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Hawaii2.035.2%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.7%1st Place
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9.19Tulane University1.773.8%1st Place
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8.17George Washington University2.136.3%1st Place
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9.97Webb Institute1.433.2%1st Place
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15.83SUNY Maritime College-0.320.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 16.2% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| John Glenn | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 9.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 23.7% | 29.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Patton | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 19.6% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.