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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+5.86vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+7.05vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+3.84vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.58+3.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+0.28vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+0.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-5.23vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-5.18vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.16-2.20vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83-2.09vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-3.94vs Predicted
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14Boston College0.97-1.68vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.68-1.85vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.43-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.84Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.53Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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4.82Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.06Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.32Boston College0.970.0%1st Place
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13.15Middlebury College0.680.0%1st Place
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15.0University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Dunphy | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Marly Isler | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Christina Frost | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 23.7% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 1.6% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Hailey Ullmann | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 22.5% | 10.6% |
| Cynthia Connard | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 31.8% | 18.0% |
| Shannan Smith | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.