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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+8.98vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+9.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.83vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.07+5.77vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+1.45vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+2.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-1.45vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.12+3.76vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+1.63vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.15+0.29vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.90-2.48vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.38-5.66vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.97-4.96vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.55-3.61vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.97-6.15vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.93-7.04vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.60-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98Brown University2.294.0%1st Place
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11.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.8%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.9%1st Place
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9.77Roger Williams University2.074.2%1st Place
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6.45Dartmouth College2.7512.8%1st Place
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8.15Boston College2.566.5%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.6%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island2.789.8%1st Place
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12.76University of Michigan1.122.4%1st Place
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11.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.0%1st Place
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11.29Tufts University2.153.5%1st Place
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9.52University of Pennsylvania1.905.1%1st Place
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7.34Cornell University2.388.5%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston1.975.8%1st Place
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11.39Jacksonville University1.553.8%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy1.974.8%1st Place
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9.96University of Miami1.934.7%1st Place
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10.25University of Wisconsin1.604.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 20.4% |
| John Ped | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Bridget Green | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Max Anker | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Matthew King | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
| Gray Benson | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.