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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+4.93vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+3.70vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.43+6.86vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+4.32vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.77+4.13vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+3.90vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.65+2.85vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.95+4.98vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.62+1.09vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.03-0.94vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05-6.19vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.92-6.07vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-2.43vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University0.91+1.08vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.92-6.21vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-5.11vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.32-1.27vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.13-9.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Stanford University2.6112.1%1st Place
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5.7Georgetown University2.7511.3%1st Place
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9.86Webb Institute1.434.2%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.065.5%1st Place
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9.13Tulane University1.774.2%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University1.574.5%1st Place
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9.85Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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12.98Old Dominion University0.951.4%1st Place
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10.09Florida State University1.624.2%1st Place
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9.06University of Hawaii2.033.9%1st Place
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4.81Harvard University3.0515.3%1st Place
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5.93Yale University2.9210.5%1st Place
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10.57St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.1%1st Place
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15.08North Carolina State University0.910.8%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College1.925.5%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.0%1st Place
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15.73SUNY Maritime College-0.320.5%1st Place
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8.38George Washington University2.135.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| John Glenn | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 9.7% |
| Joey Meagher | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Patton | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.3% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 26.2% | 30.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 17.5% | 47.2% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.