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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+3.67vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+3.81vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+7.15vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+4.28vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.43+4.85vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.61-0.10vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+3.48vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.03+1.15vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+0.89vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.95+2.91vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.62-0.77vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.77-2.80vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.92-6.99vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University0.91+0.89vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.13-6.69vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.92-7.13vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-6.35vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.32-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Harvard University3.0516.9%1st Place
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5.81Georgetown University2.7511.4%1st Place
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10.15Fordham University1.574.0%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.065.7%1st Place
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9.85Webb Institute1.434.4%1st Place
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5.9Stanford University2.6111.5%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.7%1st Place
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9.15University of Hawaii2.034.1%1st Place
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9.89Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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12.91Old Dominion University0.952.5%1st Place
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10.23Florida State University1.624.1%1st Place
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9.2Tulane University1.773.7%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.929.9%1st Place
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14.89North Carolina State University0.910.5%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University2.135.3%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College1.924.5%1st Place
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10.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.3%1st Place
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15.74SUNY Maritime College-0.320.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 16.9% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Patton | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| John Glenn | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 10.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 23.2% | 29.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 17.8% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.