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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.24+1.79vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.69+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.15-1.55vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.22+1.63vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.94-2.82vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.36-1.80vs Predicted
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10Rollins College1.27-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.79University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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3.07Eckerd College2.690.2%1st Place
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2.45University of South Florida3.150.3%1st Place
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6.63University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
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4.18Eckerd College1.940.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.18Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 14.6% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 13.0% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 22.2% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 32.5% | 25.4% | 20.0% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 13.5% | 39.7% | 31.0% |
| Sarah Chambers | 10.2% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 23.0% | 60.4% |
| Ian Nora | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 27.6% | 18.9% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.