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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.84vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+3.92vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+1.82vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+6.65vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.53+5.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+3.80vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.62+3.14vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.77+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.03+0.33vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92-1.32vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.75-5.12vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-2.10vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.91+2.02vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.06-5.92vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.43-5.01vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.19-7.77vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.95-3.71vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.25-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Yale University2.9210.0%1st Place
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5.92Stanford University2.6110.2%1st Place
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4.82Harvard University3.0515.6%1st Place
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10.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.5%1st Place
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10.63Fordham University1.532.8%1st Place
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9.8Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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10.14Florida State University1.623.1%1st Place
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9.04Tulane University1.774.8%1st Place
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9.33University of Hawaii2.034.8%1st Place
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8.68Connecticut College1.926.2%1st Place
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5.88Georgetown University2.7511.8%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University1.574.2%1st Place
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15.02North Carolina State University0.911.5%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College2.065.4%1st Place
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9.99Webb Institute1.433.8%1st Place
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8.23George Washington University2.196.5%1st Place
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13.29Old Dominion University0.951.8%1st Place
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15.76SUNY Maritime College-0.250.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.6% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Michael Burns | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Patton | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 24.6% | 30.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Glenn | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 10.4% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 18.6% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.