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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.15+10.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.50vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+3.49vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.07+5.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.40+4.94vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.70+4.90vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.12+5.45vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.55+2.94vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-2.65vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.97-0.74vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.59-0.93vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.56-3.93vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.61vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.93-4.23vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-6.04vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.12-3.57vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-9.07vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.70-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.19Tufts University2.154.0%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.178.5%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College2.759.8%1st Place
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9.72Roger Williams University2.074.9%1st Place
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9.94Brown University2.404.9%1st Place
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10.9University of Wisconsin1.703.7%1st Place
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12.45College of Charleston1.121.9%1st Place
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10.94Jacksonville University1.553.5%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island2.7811.1%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Naval Academy1.976.3%1st Place
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10.07University of Pennsylvania1.594.4%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.566.5%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Miami1.934.2%1st Place
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8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.7%1st Place
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12.43University of Michigan1.122.6%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.047.4%1st Place
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9.63Cornell University1.705.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
| Samuel Bartel | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 18.5% |
| Matthew King | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Gray Benson | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Will Murray | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 18.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.