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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.13+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.34-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.20-0.34vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.19+0.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.18-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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2.6University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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4.17University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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7.03California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Burroughs | 25.0% | 25.5% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Emily Dahl | 30.2% | 25.0% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Morgane Renoir | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.3% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 24.6% | 17.2% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 18.8% | 59.4% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 19.8% | 26.1% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.