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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+1.27vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.69+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.24+0.62vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.94+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.22+0.58vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.87-2.80vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.36-1.83vs Predicted
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10Rollins College1.27-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27University of South Florida3.150.4%1st Place
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2.98Eckerd College2.690.2%1st Place
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3.62University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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4.12Eckerd College1.940.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
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4.2Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.07Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 36.7% | 27.2% | 18.5% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 21.2% | 23.7% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 14.7% | 15.1% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Chambers | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 14.7% | 37.9% | 30.5% |
| Peter Hidley | 10.3% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 7.5% | 22.4% | 60.0% |
| Ian Nora | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 24.7% | 17.0% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.