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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+6.90vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.07+7.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.40+6.80vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.12+8.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+0.37vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.59+2.30vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.70+2.04vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.93-0.40vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-3.02vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.70-2.30vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.75-6.74vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.55-3.24vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.97-5.73vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.12-3.40vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.15-5.82vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Boston College2.567.8%1st Place
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9.99Roger Williams University2.073.9%1st Place
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9.8Brown University2.405.1%1st Place
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12.67College of Charleston1.122.4%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.178.2%1st Place
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6.37University of Rhode Island2.7811.6%1st Place
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.166.8%1st Place
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10.3University of Pennsylvania1.593.6%1st Place
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11.04University of Wisconsin1.703.2%1st Place
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9.6University of Miami1.935.1%1st Place
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7.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.047.1%1st Place
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9.7Cornell University1.704.4%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College2.7511.3%1st Place
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10.76Jacksonville University1.554.2%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Naval Academy1.975.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Michigan1.121.8%1st Place
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11.18Tufts University2.152.9%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 19.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Will Murray | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Samuel Bartel | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Matthew King | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| Gray Benson | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 17.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% |
| Maks Groom | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.