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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+5.08vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.98vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+10.06vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+0.67vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.77+4.16vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.19+2.19vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.92+1.72vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57+2.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+0.75vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.53+0.43vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.03-1.97vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.62-1.66vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.91+1.94vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.75-8.17vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.43-4.90vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.06-7.79vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.25-1.20vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Stanford University2.6110.7%1st Place
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5.98Yale University2.9210.9%1st Place
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13.06Old Dominion University0.951.4%1st Place
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4.67Harvard University3.0517.0%1st Place
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9.16Tulane University1.774.9%1st Place
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8.19George Washington University2.196.6%1st Place
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8.72Connecticut College1.925.1%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University1.573.4%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.654.4%1st Place
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10.43Fordham University1.533.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Hawaii2.034.1%1st Place
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10.34Florida State University1.623.9%1st Place
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14.94North Carolina State University0.910.9%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University2.7510.6%1st Place
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10.1Webb Institute1.432.7%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College2.067.3%1st Place
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15.8SUNY Maritime College-0.250.4%1st Place
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10.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Glenn | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 10.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 17.0% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Michael Burns | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Patton | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 24.2% | 29.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 47.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.