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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.24+2.19vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.83+0.15vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.69-0.58vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.94-0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.36+0.46vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.87-3.19vs Predicted
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9Rollins College1.27-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of South Florida3.150.3%1st Place
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4.19University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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3.42Eckerd College2.690.2%1st Place
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4.68Eckerd College1.940.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.81Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.66Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 30.4% | 25.2% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alison Knoles | 11.1% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 20.2% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 18.2% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Chambers | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Monson | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 11.0% | 77.3% |
| Peter Hidley | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 19.8% | 4.6% |
| Ian Nora | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 19.5% | 33.5% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.