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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+3.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.93vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.03+6.22vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.92+4.87vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+0.92vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.19+2.30vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+6.07vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57+2.12vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+1.01vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.62-0.03vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.43-0.94vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.06-3.86vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.75-7.17vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.77-4.81vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.53-4.43vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.91-1.24vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.25-1.20vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Harvard University3.0517.0%1st Place
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5.93Yale University2.9211.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Hawaii2.034.5%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College1.924.3%1st Place
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5.92Stanford University2.6111.8%1st Place
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8.3George Washington University2.195.9%1st Place
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13.07Old Dominion University0.951.6%1st Place
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10.12Fordham University1.573.2%1st Place
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10.01Boston University1.654.2%1st Place
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9.97Florida State University1.623.6%1st Place
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10.06Webb Institute1.433.8%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College2.066.6%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University2.7510.7%1st Place
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9.19Tulane University1.774.5%1st Place
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10.57Fordham University1.533.4%1st Place
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14.76North Carolina State University0.910.8%1st Place
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15.8SUNY Maritime College-0.250.4%1st Place
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10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 17.0% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Glenn | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 11.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Michael Burns | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 22.7% | 27.9% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 17.8% | 47.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.