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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.68+1.73vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.80+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.07+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.26+0.88vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.54-2.00vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.05-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.83-1.73vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.30-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of South Florida2.680.3%1st Place
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2.61Eckerd College2.800.3%1st Place
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3.69University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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3.0Jacksonville University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.09Eckerd College1.050.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Florida-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.73Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Degen | 26.8% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 27.9% | 25.1% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bess | 12.8% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 22.0% | 27.2% | 14.1% | 2.3% |
| Ian Ikeda | 20.1% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Resnick | 5.4% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 21.3% | 27.8% | 15.9% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Algozzine | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 8.7% | 22.2% | 61.9% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 14.6% | 41.3% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.