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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.57+9.04vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.77+7.26vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.92+5.92vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55+2.02vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05-0.16vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92+0.09vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+6.35vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.41-1.12vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38-2.03vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.77+3.91vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.53-0.33vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.03-2.88vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.43-2.70vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-4.10vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-4.96vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.19-7.63vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.62-6.63vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.32-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.04Fordham University1.575.1%1st Place
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9.26Tulane University1.775.3%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College1.925.0%1st Place
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6.02Stanford University2.5510.8%1st Place
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4.84Harvard University3.0514.6%1st Place
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6.09Yale University2.929.6%1st Place
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13.35Old Dominion University0.951.2%1st Place
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6.88Georgetown University2.418.7%1st Place
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6.97Bowdoin College2.388.3%1st Place
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13.91North Carolina State University0.771.2%1st Place
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10.67Fordham University1.533.6%1st Place
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9.12University of Hawaii2.035.6%1st Place
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10.3Webb Institute1.433.2%1st Place
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9.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.6%1st Place
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10.04Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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8.37George Washington University2.195.8%1st Place
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10.37Florida State University1.623.9%1st Place
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15.94SUNY Maritime College-0.320.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Snyder | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John Glenn | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 13.5% |
| Scott Mais | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 22.7% | 17.4% |
| Michael Burns | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Patton | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.