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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+5.32vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+4.77vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.39vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+6.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+6.03vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.97+2.41vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.94+1.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.10vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75-2.98vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.15+0.91vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.94+2.68vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38-1.29vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.90-4.02vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.40-4.49vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-5.61vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.08-0.18vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.14-7.95vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-10.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32University of Rhode Island2.7810.3%1st Place
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6.77Cornell University2.389.0%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.7%1st Place
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10.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.9%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.2%1st Place
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8.41College of Charleston1.976.5%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University1.945.7%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Naval Academy2.164.0%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College2.7511.7%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University2.153.4%1st Place
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13.68University of Wisconsin0.941.7%1st Place
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10.71Jacksonville University-1.384.5%1st Place
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8.98University of Pennsylvania1.904.9%1st Place
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9.51Brown University2.404.6%1st Place
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9.39University of Miami1.935.1%1st Place
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15.82University of Michigan0.081.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston College2.145.2%1st Place
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7.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.047.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| John Ped | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Max Anker | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 22.2% | 18.4% |
| Emily Allen | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 13.4% | 55.7% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.