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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+5.07vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.41+4.94vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.92+5.92vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.57+6.20vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+0.96vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.77+3.24vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.62+3.39vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.19+0.26vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.03+0.14vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.650.00vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.32+5.08vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.38-5.02vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.05-8.19vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.53-3.10vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.43-4.68vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-2.76vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-7.21vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.77-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Stanford University2.5511.1%1st Place
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6.94Georgetown University2.418.0%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College1.924.9%1st Place
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10.2Fordham University1.573.8%1st Place
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5.96Yale University2.9211.3%1st Place
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9.24Tulane University1.774.5%1st Place
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10.39Florida State University1.623.8%1st Place
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8.26George Washington University2.195.7%1st Place
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9.14University of Hawaii2.034.8%1st Place
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10.0Boston University1.653.9%1st Place
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16.08SUNY Maritime College-0.320.4%1st Place
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6.98Bowdoin College2.388.4%1st Place
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4.81Harvard University3.0516.6%1st Place
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10.9Fordham University1.532.9%1st Place
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10.32Webb Institute1.433.3%1st Place
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13.24Old Dominion University0.951.5%1st Place
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9.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.0%1st Place
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13.77North Carolina State University0.771.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Patton | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 54.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 16.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Burns | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| John Glenn | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 11.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 21.0% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.