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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.40+8.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+4.33vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.90+5.93vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+2.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.15+5.79vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.94+7.69vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.33vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+2.90vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.14-0.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.08+4.90vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-5.04vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-2.20vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-3.53vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.97-6.34vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-8.30vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.94-8.36vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.93-8.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.43Brown University2.405.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island2.7811.2%1st Place
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8.93University of Pennsylvania1.905.1%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.7511.5%1st Place
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10.79Tufts University2.152.9%1st Place
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13.69University of Wisconsin0.941.3%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.5%1st Place
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10.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.5%1st Place
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8.96Boston College2.145.5%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Naval Academy2.163.9%1st Place
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15.9University of Michigan0.080.5%1st Place
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6.96Cornell University2.388.9%1st Place
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10.8Jacksonville University-1.383.8%1st Place
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10.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.7%1st Place
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8.66College of Charleston1.976.9%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.047.3%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University1.946.8%1st Place
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9.2University of Miami1.935.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 19.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Ped | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 55.1% |
| Bridget Green | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emily Allen | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Max Anker | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.