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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.62+8.92vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+7.32vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+2.80vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.21+5.74vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+0.45vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.41+0.43vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.13+0.90vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38-1.33vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.08+0.67vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.91+4.93vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.92-2.80vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-2.41vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.43-3.08vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.32+1.74vs Predicted
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15Catholic University of America1.31-4.69vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-6.08vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.95-4.04vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.03-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.92Florida State University1.624.3%1st Place
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9.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.0%1st Place
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5.8Stanford University2.5511.7%1st Place
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9.74Tulane University2.214.3%1st Place
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5.45Yale University2.9212.8%1st Place
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6.43Georgetown University2.4110.2%1st Place
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7.9George Washington University2.137.0%1st Place
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6.67Bowdoin College2.388.8%1st Place
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9.67Harvard University2.083.9%1st Place
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14.93North Carolina State University0.910.9%1st Place
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8.2Connecticut College1.925.7%1st Place
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9.59Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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9.92Webb Institute1.433.8%1st Place
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15.74SUNY Maritime College-0.320.9%1st Place
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10.31Catholic University of America1.314.6%1st Place
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9.92Fordham University1.574.5%1st Place
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12.96Old Dominion University0.952.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Hawaii2.035.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 24.3% | 31.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 19.9% | 46.7% |
| John McKenna | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| John Glenn | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 9.6% |
| Samuel Patton | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.