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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.13+2.19vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.12-0.37vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.20+1.70vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.19+2.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.15-1.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.34-3.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.18-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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2.63University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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5.7University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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7.04California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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5.64University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Burroughs | 24.6% | 26.0% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Emily Dahl | 29.6% | 23.7% | 20.7% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 27.3% | 17.2% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 19.7% | 58.4% |
| Morgane Renoir | 12.4% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 2.7% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.0% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 23.8% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.