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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.68+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.26+2.50vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.07+0.27vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.80-1.67vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.920.00vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.05-1.25vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.30-1.38vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-0.83-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of South Florida2.680.3%1st Place
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4.5University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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3.27University of South Florida2.070.2%1st Place
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2.33Eckerd College2.800.3%1st Place
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5.0Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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4.75Eckerd College1.050.1%1st Place
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6.62Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Florida-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Degen | 32.0% | 25.1% | 22.3% | 12.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 20.3% | 22.4% | 17.9% | 10.6% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Bess | 15.7% | 19.3% | 22.7% | 18.5% | 14.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 32.3% | 30.7% | 18.8% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 26.7% | 15.2% | 3.9% |
| Jessica Resnick | 5.7% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 20.6% | 24.3% | 11.6% | 3.6% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 33.6% | 35.2% |
| Nicholas Algozzine | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 25.6% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.