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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.26+3.43vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.05+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.68-0.54vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.80-1.68vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.07-1.76vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.92-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.83-0.83vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.30-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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4.84Eckerd College1.050.1%1st Place
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2.46University of South Florida2.680.3%1st Place
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2.32Eckerd College2.800.3%1st Place
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3.24University of South Florida2.070.2%1st Place
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4.98Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Florida-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.55Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Falconi | 6.5% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 9.4% | 1.6% |
| Jessica Resnick | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 22.6% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 4.0% |
| AJ Degen | 30.3% | 27.0% | 20.8% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 34.4% | 26.1% | 21.3% | 12.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bess | 16.1% | 19.7% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Steo | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 24.4% | 16.1% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Algozzine | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 20.2% | 60.7% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 16.1% | 36.5% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.