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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+4.71vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+6.63vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+6.82vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.35vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+3.69vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+5.88vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.92+0.49vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.43+0.89vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.13-2.07vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.62-1.09vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.41-5.36vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America1.31-2.85vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.08-4.26vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-5.50vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.38-9.56vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.32-1.10vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.91-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Stanford University2.5512.6%1st Place
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8.63University of Hawaii2.036.3%1st Place
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9.82Tulane University2.213.8%1st Place
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5.54Yale University2.9212.6%1st Place
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9.35St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.8%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University1.574.7%1st Place
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12.88Old Dominion University0.952.0%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College1.925.2%1st Place
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9.89Webb Institute1.433.4%1st Place
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7.93George Washington University2.136.0%1st Place
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9.91Florida State University1.624.2%1st Place
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6.64Georgetown University2.419.5%1st Place
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10.15Catholic University of America1.314.5%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University2.085.1%1st Place
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9.5Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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6.44Bowdoin College2.389.3%1st Place
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15.9SUNY Maritime College-0.320.8%1st Place
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14.79North Carolina State University0.911.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| John Glenn | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 9.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Scott Mais | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John McKenna | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 19.1% | 48.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 23.4% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.