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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.68+1.43vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.80+0.32vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.07+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.26+0.50vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.05-1.16vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.30-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.83-0.87vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.92-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of South Florida2.680.3%1st Place
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2.32Eckerd College2.800.3%1st Place
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3.27University of South Florida2.070.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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4.84Eckerd College1.050.1%1st Place
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6.57Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Florida-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.94Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Degen | 31.9% | 26.1% | 20.9% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 33.1% | 29.0% | 19.0% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bess | 16.4% | 17.6% | 23.9% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 20.9% | 21.0% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| Jessica Resnick | 5.4% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 23.1% | 15.1% | 3.7% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 15.6% | 33.9% | 32.1% |
| Nicholas Algozzine | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 25.2% | 56.5% |
| Alex Steo | 4.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 22.7% | 14.8% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.