Race 1A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Patrick Penwell 7.7% 7.1% 10.9% 8.3% 11.8% 12.4% 13.5% 17.1% 11.2%
Henry Dumke 11.4% 16.0% 14.1% 13.5% 13.4% 11.5% 9.7% 7.3% 3.1%
Mackenzie Needham 7.6% 8.7% 8.9% 10.7% 11.3% 11.0% 14.5% 17.1% 10.2%
Becker Awqatty 10.0% 12.3% 12.3% 13.1% 11.4% 11.6% 12.3% 10.0% 7.0%
Maxwell Simmons 25.1% 20.6% 12.8% 13.2% 8.9% 8.6% 5.3% 4.6% 0.9%
Scott Booth 11.1% 10.1% 12.0% 12.9% 11.9% 14.3% 11.6% 10.7% 5.4%
Bradley Brown 11.9% 10.5% 13.6% 13.5% 13.4% 11.9% 10.8% 9.2% 5.2%
Matthew Miranda 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.7% 5.4% 6.0% 9.6% 14.1% 51.8%
Timothy Harding 12.1% 11.6% 12.2% 11.1% 12.5% 12.7% 12.7% 9.9% 5.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.