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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.20+0.43vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-1.72+0.91vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.53-0.23vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.70-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Indiana University0.2067.2%1st Place
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2.91Hillsdale College-1.7211.2%1st Place
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2.77Ohio State University-1.5311.1%1st Place
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2.89Ohio State University-1.7010.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kurt Weisenfluh | 67.2% | 24.3% | 7.2% | 1.3% |
Riley Hamilton | 11.2% | 22.8% | 29.8% | 36.3% |
Quinn Schwarz | 11.1% | 29.1% | 31.1% | 28.6% |
Benjamin Conrad | 10.5% | 23.8% | 31.9% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.