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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.34+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.18+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.13-0.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.20-0.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.15-2.82vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.19-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Stanford University2.920.3%1st Place
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2.61University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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6.99California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Burroughs | 25.9% | 23.4% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dahl | 29.4% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.1% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 26.0% | 18.4% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 24.0% | 17.0% |
| Morgane Renoir | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 3.0% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 21.2% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.