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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.19+3.68vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+1.19vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.19-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+0.26vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.45vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.15+0.46vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.51-3.16vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.48-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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4.19Boston College2.850.2%1st Place
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3.37Boston College3.190.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.46Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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4.84Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.89Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 12.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 16.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 21.2% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Miranda | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 51.3% |
| Scott Booth | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 6.7% |
| Becker Awqatty | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.