← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.85+2.99vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.19+1.52vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.07+2.72vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.51+0.61vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.59vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.48-1.27vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.19-1.58vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.23-2.72vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.15-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.99Boston College2.850.2%1st Place
-
3.52Boston College3.190.2%1st Place
-
5.72Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
-
4.61Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
4.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
4.73Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
-
5.42University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
-
5.28University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
-
7.32Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Dumke | 17.3% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 18.5% | 20.9% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Emmett Weeks | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 13.0% |
| Scott Booth | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 8.7% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 10.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% |
| Matthew Miranda | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.