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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.58vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.47+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.81+0.32vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-1.82+0.58vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-0.70-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Webb Institute1.4359.7%1st Place
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2.74Drexel University0.4717.5%1st Place
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3.44University of Maryland-0.0810.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Delaware-0.814.5%1st Place
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5.58Monmouth University-1.821.7%1st Place
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6.11Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.351.2%1st Place
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4.22University of Pittsburgh-0.705.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 59.7% | 26.7% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 17.5% | 30.0% | 26.4% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jared Cohen | 10.2% | 19.2% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 4.5% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 22.7% | 23.6% | 17.9% | 6.6% |
| Daniel Dickson | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 34.8% | 30.9% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 21.9% | 55.8% |
| Olivia Kearns | 5.2% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 26.8% | 16.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.