← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.92+1.84vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California3.12+0.59vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine2.34+0.83vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.13+0.21vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley1.18+0.75vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.20-1.36vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.15-3.83vs Predicted
-
9California State University Monterey Bay0.19-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.84Stanford University2.920.3%1st Place
-
2.59University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
-
3.83University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
-
4.21University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
-
5.75University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
-
5.64University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
-
4.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
-
6.97California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Burroughs | 25.9% | 23.0% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dahl | 29.2% | 26.2% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.6% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 3.6% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 27.5% | 16.9% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 23.6% | 17.7% |
| Morgane Renoir | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 2.6% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 9.2% | 19.5% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.