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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.65+0.48vs Predicted
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2Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.60+1.85vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-1.63+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.26-0.69vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.66-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.16-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Webb Institute0.6564.8%1st Place
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3.85Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.606.3%1st Place
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3.87Monmouth University-1.636.9%1st Place
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3.31University of Delaware-1.2611.1%1st Place
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3.95Drexel University-1.665.9%1st Place
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4.54University of Pittsburgh-2.165.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Spalding | 64.8% | 25.1% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Bigham | 6.3% | 14.9% | 20.1% | 21.5% | 20.3% | 16.9% |
| Sarah Ward | 6.9% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 17.3% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 11.1% | 22.4% | 23.6% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 9.1% |
| Ben Muchin | 5.9% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 22.7% | 18.4% |
| Aidan Reilly | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.