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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.65+0.52vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.26+1.37vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-1.63+0.86vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.66-0.03vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.60-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.16-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Webb Institute0.6563.5%1st Place
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3.37University of Delaware-1.2610.2%1st Place
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3.86Monmouth University-1.637.2%1st Place
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3.97Drexel University-1.666.5%1st Place
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3.83Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.608.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Pittsburgh-2.164.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Spalding | 63.5% | 25.0% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 10.2% | 21.4% | 23.0% | 21.3% | 15.5% | 8.6% |
| Sarah Ward | 7.2% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| Ben Muchin | 6.5% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 19.1% | 21.7% | 20.2% |
| Samuel Bigham | 8.0% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 21.9% | 16.5% |
| Aidan Reilly | 4.7% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.