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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.12+1.54vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.34+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.13-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.20-0.34vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.19+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.18-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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2.92Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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4.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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7.01California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dahl | 31.6% | 26.4% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 24.2% | 22.8% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.3% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Morgane Renoir | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 2.6% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.3% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 24.7% | 17.1% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 19.4% | 59.3% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 26.7% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.