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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+5.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+4.80vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.29+5.60vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.45+7.61vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.63+5.97vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.93+3.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.11vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.70-1.32vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.28+3.42vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.51-2.34vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan3.02-1.39vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.97-1.95vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-5.54vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.99-0.90vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.12-6.02vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.96-6.23vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-8.54vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.22-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.6Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.61Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.97SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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9.87Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.68Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.42George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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10.05Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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13.1University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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8.98College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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15.5University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| AJ Reiter | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 7.4% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brady Stagg | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 8.4% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Price | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 19.1% | 15.6% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Hickling | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.