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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+6.75vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+4.51vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+5.54vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.70+2.70vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan3.02+4.38vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.97+3.69vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.12+2.04vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.45+3.66vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.58vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-3.15vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.99+2.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.69vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.63-2.10vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.29-5.86vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.93-5.16vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.22-0.40vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.28-4.43vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.96-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.51Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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6.7Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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9.69Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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11.66Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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13.56University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.9SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.14Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.84Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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15.6University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
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12.57George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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9.54Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Brady Stagg | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Price | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 5.9% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| AJ Reiter | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Hickling | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 47.8% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.