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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+5.72vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.90vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.55+4.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.95vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+1.79vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.60vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.93+3.07vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+0.32vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.29-0.54vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.70-2.91vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.97-1.03vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.63-0.46vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.99+0.36vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.45-2.43vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-5.46vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.12-6.76vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.28-4.28vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.22-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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7.66Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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10.07Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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8.46Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.09Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.97Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.54SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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13.36University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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11.57Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
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12.72George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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15.52University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| AJ Reiter | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brady Stagg | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Price | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 11.4% |
| Lucas Hickling | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.