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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+3.04vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.34+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California3.12-1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.13-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.20-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.18-1.22vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.19-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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2.9Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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2.62University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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4.16University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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6.97California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgane Renoir | 11.3% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 24.2% | 22.7% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.8% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Emily Dahl | 29.7% | 24.0% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.8% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 2.5% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 25.1% | 17.2% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 24.3% | 20.3% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 21.1% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.