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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+6.93vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.29+6.71vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+3.66vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan3.02+5.49vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.93+4.90vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+2.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.04vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.55-0.61vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-2.28vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.63+1.49vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.12-1.69vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.97-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.99+0.42vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.28-1.77vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.22+0.65vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.70-9.05vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.51-9.25vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.45-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.71Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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6.66Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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9.9Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.39Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.49SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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9.31College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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10.24Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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12.23George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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15.65University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
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6.95Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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11.71Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Jacob La Dow | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 5.8% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Price | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 17.9% |
| Colin Kennedy | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% |
| Lucas Hickling | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 16.5% | 48.3% |
| Brady Stagg | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.